Question 1

For a hypotherical UoM, the number of losses in two non-overlapping datasets is 24 and 32 respectively. The Pareto tail parameters for the two datasets calculated using the maximum likelihood estimation method are 2 and 3. What is an estimate of the tail parameter of the combined dataset?

Options :

A : 2.57

B : 2.23

C : 3

D : Cannot be determined

Answer: A

Question 2

The VaR of a portfolio at the 99% confidence level is $250,000 when mean return is assumed to be zero. If the assumption of zero returns is changed to an assumption of returns of $10,000, what is the revised VaR?

Options :

A : 260000

B : 240000

C : 273260

D : 226740

Answer: B

Question 3

Under the KMV Moody's approach to calculating expectingdefault frequencies (EDF), firms' default on obligations is likely when:

Options :

A : expected asset values one year hence are below total liabilities

B : asset values reach a level below short term debt

C : asset values reach a level below totalliabilities

D : asset values reach a level between short term debt and total liabilities

Answer: D

Question 4

Whichof the following statements are true in relation to Historical Simulation VaR?

I. Historical Simulation VaR assumes returns are normally distributed but have fat tails

II. It uses full revaluation, as opposed to delta or delta-gamma approximations

III. Acorrelation matrix is constructed using historical scenarios

IV. It particularly suits new products that may not have a long time series of historical data available

Options :

A : II

B : II and III

C : I and IV

D : All of the above

E : A

Answer: A

Question 5

Which of the following carry greater counterparty risk: a forward contract on a 10 year note, or a commercial paper carrying a AA credit rating with identicalmaturity and notional?

Options :

A : The forward contract has greater credit risk as its future gains are unknown

B : Credit risk can not be compared in these terms

C : They both carry the same credit risk

D : The commercial paper has greater credit risk as the entire notional is outstanding

Answer: D

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